Macro early-warning indicators
Macro Monitor
Timely, free-to-use market and macro indicators that tend to move ahead of the business cycle — risk sentiment, commodities, the US labour market and the euro area's leading indicators. Early-warning signals for the economy and FX risk.
Risk sentiment & commodities
US labor market
Eurozone – leading indicators (European Commission)
What the macro monitor tracks
The macro monitor brings together indicators that tend to move ahead of the business cycle: risk sentiment (the VIX), euro-area sovereign-bond spreads, commodity prices (oil, gold, natural gas, copper), the US labour market, and the European Commission's euro-area confidence indicators. Together they give an early read on financial conditions and growth momentum — all from freely reusable sources.
Coverage and cadence
Risk and commodity gauges update on every trading day; US labour-market data monthly or weekly; euro-area sovereign spreads as ECB monthly averages; and the EU leading indicators monthly. Each indicator carries its own as-of date, so you always see how fresh a value is.
Why it matters for FX and treasury
Shifts in risk sentiment, commodity prices and rate spreads are among the earliest drivers of currency moves and central-bank decisions. Corporates with foreign-currency exposure use these signals as an early input for hedging, funding and cash-flow planning.
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